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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs70%104111
20Mavericks30%9786
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
33.3
33.2
21
60%
5
9
0
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
28.6
29.9
18
57%
10
2
0
1
3
1
2
8
4-4
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
28.2
24.3
5
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
27.2
23.6
13
56%
6
1
2
1
0
3
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
4-6
44%
59%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
26.8
24.4
8
57%
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
26.3
23.8
8
93%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
25.3
23.7
20
68%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
18.2
20.6
10
73%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
14.7
9.5
5
42%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
4.1
6.3
1
57%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
3.6
10.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
3.6
6.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
32.6
29.9
18
69%
5
8
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
9-13
4-8
69%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
30.7
33.2
8
29%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
3-8
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
25.5
28.4
2
20%
7
2
1
1
3
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
24.6
21.0
13
55%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
20.7
21.3
13
50%
9
2
0
0
0
0
4
5
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
23.6
12.3
14
64%
10
1
0
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
22.5
21.2
8
40%
5
2
0
0
3
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
17.1
9.1
2
14%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
16.4
11.4
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
15.3
14.0
6
44%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
3.6
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
3.6
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
3.6
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.