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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Celtics49%9896
27Kings51%99118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
35.8
22.6
2
17%
5
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
33.0
33.4
20
73%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
28.0
25.6
16
58%
12
6
0
1
0
1
1
11
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
25.4
30.9
20
67%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
4-8
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
17.6
11.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
31.0
29.1
16
40%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
5-7
71%
4-13
4-8
31%
48%
1-4
25%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
23.4
22.1
10
65%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
20.8
29.7
0
0%
0
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
20.0
22.0
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
4.2
2.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
0.9
4.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
39.6
25.5
27
78%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
7-8
3-6
88%
49%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
32.5
28.8
23
86%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
7-8
2-5
88%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
32.0
26.1
20
69%
6
0
1
1
2
1
3
3
4-8
50%
8-11
4-8
73%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
31.1
21.4
12
44%
10
10
1
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
4-12
4-10
33%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
18.6
25.5
5
36%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
22.5
18.5
10
56%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
21.9
21.9
10
79%
6
3
2
1
3
3
1
5
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
16.3
14.1
2
35%
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
16.2
18.6
5
36%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
6.2
11.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
3.0
0.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
20.7
1
2-4
48%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
6.5
0
1-2
43%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.