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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings43%9897
25Pistons57%100103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
35.7
25.7
21
48%
14
2
3
1
0
2
8
6
1-2
50%
10-21
5-11
48%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
33.0
28.3
16
63%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
4-6
67%
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
27.9
30.0
10
56%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
26.4
30.8
12
55%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
24.1
17.6
5
43%
1
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
25.2
21.4
4
33%
5
0
0
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
23.6
19.9
14
62%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
3-5
60%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
21.8
13.5
7
39%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
13.6
4.7
6
52%
4
0
2
0
0
0
3
1
2-4
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
5.4
15.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
3.4
9.4
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
22.4
1
2-5
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
37.9
27.0
18
54%
11
3
1
1
2
4
4
7
6-8
75%
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
34.7
27.8
20
70%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-7
3-6
86%
45%
2-6
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
34.7
30.8
10
63%
6
3
1
0
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
4-9
83%
48%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
33.2
27.3
4
40%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
24.9
22.6
7
51%
5
0
1
0
1
4
3
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
21.4
21.7
7
51%
11
0
1
1
3
0
3
8
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
21.4
19.4
13
62%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
20.7
23.1
15
64%
2
4
1
1
0
2
2
0
6-6
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
10.9
22.1
9
90%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
3-5
60%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.