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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks49%9895
21Hornets51%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
41.1
33.3
20
59%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
10-17
6-11
59%
54%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
40.0
34.0
4
23%
3
8
2
1
2
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
37.2
34.1
9
32%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-8
3-8
38%
46%
1-5
20%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
37.2
23.4
23
57%
13
7
3
1
4
1
2
11
0-0
-
10-17
4-9
59%
48%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
30.7
28.3
14
79%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
4-7
57%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
20.0
23.5
12
68%
10
0
0
1
1
0
6
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
18.8
15.4
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
15.0
6.9
6
60%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
17.1
0
0-1
39%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
10.6
0
2-3
52%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
38.6
37.4
17
51%
9
10
0
1
1
2
1
8
2-4
50%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
1-2
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
35.7
33.2
9
42%
13
0
0
1
4
1
4
9
1-4
25%
4-9
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
25.5
26.1
10
56%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
16.4
24.1
3
30%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
15.3
18.1
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
32.1
27.8
23
77%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
5-10
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
27.4
15.9
9
150%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
3-3
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
23.8
26.5
11
29%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-4
25%
5-14
4-8
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
12.4
9.7
2
33%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
7.4
10.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
5.4
4.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
14.5
0
1-2
44%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
7.6
0
1-2
43%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.