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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies58%9393
18Celtics42%9083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
43.6
31.1
23
69%
3
9
1
2
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
3-6
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
39.7
29.9
5
29%
7
4
4
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
1-7
5-9
14%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
35.6
33.3
19
54%
6
5
1
1
1
2
0
6
5-6
83%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
30.3
25.7
15
77%
5
2
1
2
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
6-7
3-7
86%
47%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
30.1
34.5
6
34%
8
2
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-2
0%
3-8
7-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
22.6
17.5
10
71%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
19.2
17.1
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
13.9
14.2
10
73%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
2.5
0.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
1.9
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
0.7
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
39.8
27.6
11
43%
2
10
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-4
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
34.1
28.5
17
57%
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
4-8
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
31.9
26.1
12
37%
7
5
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-5
40%
5-13
5-10
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
19.5
6.6
4
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
18.3
13.6
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
27.1
32.4
8
80%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
23.3
20.9
9
71%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
19.3
22.0
2
17%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
14.5
29.1
10
100%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
12.3
25.8
8
82%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.