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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs66%101117
15Bucks34%96110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
35.6
30.2
23
48%
3
11
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
9-21
6-12
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
34.4
27.2
28
61%
13
6
1
1
3
1
3
10
6-7
86%
11-20
6-12
55%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
29.7
21.8
9
90%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
23.5
24.6
4
33%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
18.9
23.8
6
104%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
59%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
27.2
22.7
16
55%
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
3-9
2-4
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
22.9
18.1
9
113%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
20.9
24.5
8
45%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
12.6
6.8
7
70%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
7.3
11.4
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
4.1
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
1.5
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
1.5
11.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
43.8
38.4
31
56%
0
5
1
2
2
5
0
0
4-4
100%
12-21
5-10
57%
44%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
39.2
36.7
18
44%
1
8
1
2
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
7-17
7-14
41%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
22.9
24.9
6
61%
9
1
0
1
4
4
3
6
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
20.7
21.3
5
43%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
19.0
25.3
4
35%
9
0
0
1
1
0
3
6
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
37.4
25.5
19
74%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
3-7
43%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
24.1
21.8
3
30%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
1-2
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
23.1
2.0
20
91%
9
3
1
0
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
10-11
0-1
91%
46%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
6.9
14.7
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
1.5
6.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
1.5
3.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
8.7
0
1-3
44%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
4.3
0
1-1
49%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.