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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets24%92110
3Thunder76%10293
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
40.2
33.2
33
76%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
5-10
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
38.6
31.8
19
65%
3
13
5
1
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
3-4
75%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
36.8
30.8
6
51%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.8
29.4
27.2
25
68%
5
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
3-3
100%
11-17
7-14
65%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
19.7
19.6
1
13%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-4
25%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
25.3
16.8
11
47%
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
4
3-4
75%
4-10
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
17.9
17.2
10
63%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
17.8
20.1
5
87%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
9.4
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
1.6
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
1.6
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
1.6
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
14.4
1
1-2
38%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
41.8
33.6
26
63%
2
10
3
2
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
10-17
6-13
59%
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
41.4
37.1
27
72%
5
5
2
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
9-12
7-13
75%
54%
2-5
40%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
37.2
31.0
14
52%
8
0
0
0
5
0
3
5
1-1
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
56%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
33.6
30.2
5
50%
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
26.6
24.2
3
39%
11
2
0
0
1
3
1
10
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
27.4
27.4
11
51%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
3-8
38%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
14.3
21.3
4
52%
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
7.5
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
6.3
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
1.9
2.6
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
1.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
3.6
0
0-1
41%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.