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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Timberwolves30%97101
8Nuggets70%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
37.2
29.0
14
50%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.0
33.7
33.9
17
61%
4
5
0
1
0
5
2
2
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
33.0
29.9
14
56%
4
3
0
1
3
1
0
4
5-8
63%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
29.0
30.1
11
49%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
3-5
60%
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.3
23.6
32.0
12
39%
17
2
0
1
0
1
5
12
4-5
80%
4-11
5-10
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
27.3
19.7
6
44%
8
4
0
1
0
0
4
4
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
25.3
22.6
17
72%
4
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
2-3
67%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
18.0
16.1
8
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
13.0
7.4
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
8.6
0
1-2
44%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
8.0
0
1-2
37%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
3.9
0
0-1
41%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
35.8
34.4
14
37%
7
6
2
1
0
1
0
7
1-7
14%
5-11
3-7
45%
50%
1-5
20%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
35.6
31.1
11
44%
4
10
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
27.8
31.0
12
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
3-7
43%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
26.4
23.2
16
80%
7
1
4
1
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
25.0
31.1
8
68%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
29.1
25.1
12
43%
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
22.7
19.9
16
78%
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
3-3
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
1-3
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
13.2
9.5
6
69%
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
12.5
18.0
2
14%
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
56%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
7.7
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
4.3
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.