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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics33%9289
10Hawks67%9781
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
38.6
31.8
14
44%
11
10
3
2
0
5
3
8
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
36.5
29.8
26
54%
9
5
1
1
0
1
4
5
7-9
78%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
3-8
38%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
35.7
22.0
10
83%
4
2
3
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
32.9
26.5
14
58%
5
3
3
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
19.6
18.1
6
33%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
25.7
23.0
4
25%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
23.5
24.2
8
47%
9
2
0
1
1
0
4
5
0-1
0%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
15.0
21.0
3
31%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
8.6
21.0
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
3.9
15.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
4.2
0
1-1
46%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
43.7
29.6
12
29%
10
5
2
1
3
6
2
8
3-6
50%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
42.8
37.7
17
57%
1
4
3
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
41.6
36.9
6
34%
9
4
1
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
2-8
7-13
25%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
41.0
36.3
28
96%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
5-6
83%
4-4
4-8
100%
46%
5-8
63%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
25.6
30.2
9
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
3-8
38%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
13.6
21.6
2
53%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
12.9
8.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
8.9
9.4
3
61%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
6.6
10.1
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
3.3
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.