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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks40%9180
18Pacers60%9595
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
35.7
33.8
21
51%
4
3
2
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
6-15
6-13
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
33.0
38.5
12
36%
4
5
3
2
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-10
5-11
30%
43%
1-5
20%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
28.6
21.4
12
55%
12
1
0
1
4
1
7
5
0-0
-
6-11
3-5
55%
49%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
28.2
17.3
4
67%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
19.2
22.9
3
22%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
26.0
18.3
6
35%
13
1
1
0
2
3
3
10
4-6
67%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
23.9
27.1
7
44%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
22.2
19.4
8
57%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
12.0
3.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
6.2
4.5
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
2.6
4.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
2.5
13.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
35.1
35.4
8
36%
9
4
1
2
0
6
1
8
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
48%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
33.0
12.6
14
44%
8
4
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
7-12
1-3
58%
49%
0-4
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
30.3
25.7
20
56%
15
0
0
0
5
2
11
4
4-4
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
25.1
30.5
10
43%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
4-6
67%
3-9
6-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
23.1
30.3
10
63%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
21.0
18.9
9
47%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
3-8
38%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
20.8
27.7
8
80%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
18.0
19.5
5
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-7
14%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
15.6
18.2
4
67%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
11.3
6.0
7
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
4.8
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
1.9
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
5.6
0
0-1
46%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.