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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings32%9693
14Nets68%102113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
33.8
31.4
28
65%
11
3
0
1
1
0
6
5
6-8
75%
11-18
6-14
61%
44%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
32.6
31.3
13
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
25.6
30.9
15
42%
4
1
0
1
0
2
4
0
1-4
25%
7-16
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
21.9
27.0
12
83%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
5-5
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
21.0
23.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
26.1
19.6
13
74%
5
4
2
0
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
22.1
22.5
4
40%
6
1
2
1
5
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
17.7
5.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
16.6
13.6
8
51%
6
0
2
0
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
11.5
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
6.3
9.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
4.8
1.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
9.4
0
1-2
48%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
31.3
19.5
7
72%
12
2
0
1
0
3
4
8
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
28.9
36.2
15
54%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
3-7
43%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
27.1
35.2
15
77%
6
7
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
23.4
31.9
8
59%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.8
16.4
31.0
18
65%
5
2
0
1
2
1
3
2
4-4
100%
7-12
8-15
58%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
27.3
16.8
15
66%
11
2
1
1
2
1
5
6
1-1
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
26.3
8.4
15
52%
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
7-11
1-3
64%
50%
0-3
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
20.9
4.8
14
64%
6
2
0
0
2
0
5
1
2-2
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
51%
2-5
40%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
16.1
7.4
2
41%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.7
12.6
23.1
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
4.8
5.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
4.8
2.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.2
13.7
0
1-2
43%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.