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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets69%106112
29Cavaliers31%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
38.2
32.6
20
66%
4
5
1
2
0
4
0
4
3-5
60%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
3-5
60%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
37.9
36.3
29
61%
2
3
7
2
1
5
0
2
14-15
93%
3-8
6-12
38%
52%
3-9
33%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
25.9
32.1
5
28%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
21.8
24.9
11
62%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
21.3
26.1
6
52%
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
2-4
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
27.6
24.1
9
70%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
26.2
19.3
15
58%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
26.2
10.3
11
76%
11
2
1
0
0
0
4
7
1-5
20%
5-5
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
14.8
22.2
6
51%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
3.7
0
0-1
52%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.8
41.1
35.3
30
55%
4
6
4
1
0
8
1
3
7-8
88%
7-16
6-13
44%
49%
3-8
38%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
37.1
34.9
14
51%
16
2
1
1
1
1
8
8
4-6
67%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
37.1
31.0
12
56%
5
5
3
1
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
31.5
33.9
18
65%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-8
3-8
50%
46%
2-4
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
25.9
31.5
9
32%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-6
17%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.1
28.8
24.3
13
44%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
43%
1-5
20%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.3
16.7
17.9
0
0%
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.4
12.2
3.1
6
104%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
9.6
18.0
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
4.9
0
1-1
42%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 24.0
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.