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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets41%9899
20Mavericks59%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
40.6
35.6
25
66%
7
9
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-2
0%
8-12
5-11
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
38.5
14.8
10
64%
13
3
3
1
1
1
2
11
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
34.9
17.0
14
46%
2
4
1
1
2
3
0
2
5-5
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
28.3
22.3
9
51%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
12.2
31.0
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
37.9
28.7
16
53%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
4-7
57%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
27.7
15.3
12
60%
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
18.1
19.2
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
14.2
14.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
7.5
13.4
3
28%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
5.2
17.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
38.4
33.6
12
76%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
34.7
35.2
14
38%
4
0
2
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
1-7
14%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
34.6
28.2
8
33%
9
4
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
34.1
21.9
20
54%
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
6
4-6
67%
5-13
4-8
38%
50%
2-3
67%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
19.6
23.2
4
67%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
35.6
27.0
17
72%
5
3
2
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
28.1
17.1
12
60%
3
0
0
1
5
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
14.6
11.6
6
60%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
13.0
14.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
12.3
9.0
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
5.3
0
1-1
45%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.