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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2376ers15%9286
1Spurs85%106109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
32.9
35.3
11
37%
8
8
0
1
1
5
2
6
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
44%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
30.9
33.3
12
41%
7
5
3
1
0
3
0
7
4-4
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
42%
0-4
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
28.2
33.1
11
37%
5
1
0
1
2
0
0
5
1-4
25%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
24.6
23.7
11
51%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
15.4
27.1
2
50%
3
1
1
1
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
31.4
25.0
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
28.4
26.4
22
79%
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
10-13
4-9
77%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
23.9
22.2
10
42%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
41%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
8.6
2.3
1
27%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
7.9
6.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.7
7.9
3.8
6
77%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
36%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
4.5
0
0-0
39%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
29.1
29.1
20
55%
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
8-14
6-12
57%
53%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
28.1
23.3
12
39%
10
1
0
1
0
1
1
9
4-5
80%
4-13
4-6
31%
60%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
27.2
25.8
2
25%
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
26.4
23.2
13
60%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
25.7
27.5
16
74%
8
3
1
1
4
2
1
7
2-2
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
26.2
23.9
19
78%
7
4
1
1
0
5
1
6
5-5
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
2-5
40%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
25.3
14.5
12
67%
3
1
3
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
15.4
21.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.8
14.1
11.3
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
10.1
8.5
3
50%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
7.0
5.2
8
69%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
5.4
10.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
16.2
1
1-2
46%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.