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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats29%95108
25Pistons71%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
38.1
14.6
13
40%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
5-5
100%
4-14
2-5
29%
42%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
34.5
20.3
10
64%
17
0
0
0
0
0
7
10
4-4
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
33.7
28.9
20
42%
2
7
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
9-19
4-9
47%
44%
0-4
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
32.6
19.3
11
45%
8
0
0
1
1
0
4
4
5-5
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
22.7
22.9
8
62%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
29.1
22.4
18
70%
3
4
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
2-5
40%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
22.5
30.3
15
59%
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
22.2
31.6
6
51%
2
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
17.1
22.1
2
33%
2
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
12.5
6.9
5
66%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
41.7
29.9
21
66%
7
3
1
0
1
4
2
5
2-2
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
37.2
31.8
18
74%
14
6
0
1
1
1
4
10
4-5
80%
7-10
6-12
70%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
33.0
32.5
12
47%
4
1
0
1
1
4
3
1
2-4
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
20.3
26.1
4
52%
3
0
0
1
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
16.7
22.3
4
33%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
33.5
27.7
18
71%
0
1
3
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
27.5
20.4
10
73%
6
1
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-2
0%
5-6
3-6
83%
58%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
24.5
19.0
5
28%
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
1-5
20%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
19.5
15.2
9
56%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
3-8
38%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
11.2
21.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
3.3
0
0-1
53%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.