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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets32%101112
6Lakers68%107105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
37.9
32.7
15
54%
6
7
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
33.1
23.4
21
54%
2
10
3
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
8-16
3-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
32.1
29.6
6
50%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
31.9
30.2
20
44%
6
2
1
1
1
1
4
2
5-6
83%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
3-10
30%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
27.8
26.2
7
41%
7
0
0
1
1
2
4
3
1-1
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
55%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
26.4
18.7
17
70%
6
0
3
0
2
1
3
3
3-7
43%
7-9
4-7
78%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
23.7
27.3
12
53%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.8
22.9
23.2
14
46%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
1-3
33%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-6
17%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
4.2
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
9.1
0
1-2
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
6.7
0
1-1
49%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
4.4
0
1-2
45%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
3.5
0
0-0
47%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
42.2
40.6
29
52%
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
8-18
9-17
44%
50%
3-8
38%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
41.3
34.3
14
73%
26
0
1
1
4
4
3
23
2-6
33%
6-6
6-10
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
38.8
32.6
16
54%
4
0
1
1
4
3
3
1
2-4
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
47%
4-9
44%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
35.2
32.8
10
54%
3
13
1
1
1
5
2
1
3-3
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
33.7
29.8
11
56%
5
3
0
0
2
3
3
2
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
16.6
24.2
8
57%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
15.4
18.1
13
56%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
12.3
6.9
0
0%
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
4.5
5.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
13.4
0
1-2
44%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.3
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.