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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Suns38%9799
17Bucks62%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
42.3
30.2
18
57%
5
8
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
2-5
40%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
35.2
32.6
16
67%
14
3
0
1
1
4
5
9
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
32.5
33.3
21
61%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
30.9
29.5
12
47%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
29.1
26.7
6
34%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
18.9
24.6
8
41%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
17.1
16.4
9
46%
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
15.5
14.1
5
36%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.2
12.8
13.2
4
37%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
5.7
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
5.9
0
1-2
45%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
1.8
0
0-0
42%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
1.0
0
0-0
42%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
40.2
33.9
13
33%
3
3
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-16
7-13
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
37.3
36.1
29
82%
3
9
1
2
1
2
2
1
6-6
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
46%
5-7
71%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
26.4
23.7
10
53%
8
1
3
1
6
0
4
4
0-1
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
26.4
22.7
12
60%
6
4
2
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
25.4
21.4
11
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
25.0
25.4
9
48%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
21.6
20.7
2
17%
6
2
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
19.1
20.4
12
60%
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
4-7
57%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
18.5
19.9
10
83%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
9.1
0
1-2
49%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
6.5
0
1-2
52%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
5.2
0
1-2
47%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
4.4
0
1-1
52%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.