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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers46%106112
9Rockets54%108125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
41.4
40.6
20
44%
5
7
3
1
0
5
2
3
2-2
100%
6-14
9-18
43%
49%
2-8
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
33.9
33.0
16
68%
5
10
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
53%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
29.2
34.9
24
81%
6
0
4
2
0
5
2
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
4-5
80%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
27.5
1.6
10
46%
3
1
0
0
4
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
0-0
40%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
17.0
8.4
12
86%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
43%
2-2
100%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
32.0
20.5
12
57%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
3-7
43%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
24.3
5.5
7
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
20.6
1.2
5
28%
9
3
0
0
1
0
2
7
1-2
50%
2-8
0-0
25%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
14.1
10.2
6
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
36.7
1
6-10
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
31.4
0
4-9
49%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
16.7
0
3-6
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
42.8
29.6
20
72%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
52%
2-2
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
39.5
36.2
31
69%
6
9
0
2
0
4
0
6
8-8
100%
10-15
6-11
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
34.8
33.8
19
61%
6
5
4
2
0
7
0
6
3-6
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
2-6
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
21.7
24.1
2
35%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
19.8
23.5
9
53%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
28.4
19.5
11
56%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
23.3
24.8
19
68%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
45%
5-7
71%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
18.6
21.4
9
83%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
8.4
15.5
3
44%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
1.3
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
1.3
1.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
2.7
0
0-1
52%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.