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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers32%9372
15Raptors68%9990
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
40.5
33.6
10
31%
7
5
2
1
1
4
0
7
1-2
50%
3-12
4-10
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
39.5
32.3
16
40%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
7-15
5-11
47%
47%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
37.6
30.8
16
55%
7
3
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-6
67%
6-12
5-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
32.0
23.4
7
61%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
19.9
23.1
8
62%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
28.2
25.4
6
34%
9
2
0
0
2
2
2
7
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
17.9
11.5
4
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
12.9
22.1
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
11.5
3.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
21.6
1
2-4
47%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.7
6.9
0
1-2
42%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
5.2
0
0-1
51%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
42.5
17.5
10
50%
11
1
3
1
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
40.7
32.6
19
58%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
40.0
27.3
19
65%
12
5
1
1
1
1
4
8
7-8
88%
6-11
4-7
55%
58%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
35.2
33.2
17
57%
9
2
0
1
0
3
2
7
1-2
50%
8-14
5-9
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
31.2
27.5
14
58%
2
11
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
7-9
2-4
78%
50%
0-3
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
25.4
26.9
9
35%
1
2
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
16.8
23.1
2
50%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
8.3
14.3
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
16.3
1
2-3
49%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
5.6
0
1-1
52%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
5.1
0
0-1
47%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
4.6
0
1-1
43%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.