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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz67%102112
30Bobcats33%96102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.0
32.3
30.6
26
78%
8
2
1
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
11-14
7-14
79%
51%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.3
32.1
27.1
9
50%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
3-6
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
28.4
8.3
10
73%
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.9
26.9
31.6
19
67%
5
5
0
1
3
1
2
3
3-5
60%
8-12
6-11
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
19.8
20.9
9
56%
2
8
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.5
28.2
18.7
12
54%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
4-5
80%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
25.8
26.8
14
62%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
0-5
4-8
0%
49%
4-5
80%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.5
19.7
20.2
10
100%
6
3
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-5
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.6
14.4
11.3
2
17%
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.6
6.9
18.6
1
27%
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.2
2.8
3.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
2.8
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.6
20.9
1
2-4
49%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.3
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
31.7
29.3
14
53%
1
6
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-3
33%
5-10
4-10
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
29.1
23.9
15
66%
8
4
2
1
0
2
1
7
1-1
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
49%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
24.2
25.2
0
0%
5
2
0
0
2
2
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
18.2
21.3
6
33%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
10.1
22.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-8
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
25.0
23.5
20
56%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
24.2
18.5
2
23%
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-1
0%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
23.8
26.1
14
65%
2
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
18.7
25.2
14
57%
0
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
17.8
17.9
10
51%
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
14.8
8.8
2
53%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
2.3
2.5
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
2.5
0
0-0
39%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.