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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets53%10379
22Hornets47%10288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
41.6
33.8
9
38%
5
5
5
2
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
40.6
37.1
25
61%
4
3
1
2
0
7
0
4
5-6
83%
7-14
6-11
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
36.0
34.8
8
40%
8
1
1
1
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
2-7
29%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
26.4
23.1
8
67%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
20.4
21.9
7
51%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
27.6
20.3
6
38%
10
1
0
0
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
26.0
24.0
9
41%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
2-6
33%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
15.7
23.2
7
66%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
5.8
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
37.0
34.9
17
61%
4
11
3
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
27.6
27.7
5
19%
1
6
0
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-8
5-10
25%
49%
0-4
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
25.2
28.4
4
29%
10
0
2
1
1
3
4
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
22.5
21.9
14
71%
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
0
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
19.0
23.7
6
60%
3
1
3
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
27.3
30.8
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
27.2
18.0
17
54%
10
3
0
0
3
1
6
4
5-6
83%
6-13
3-7
46%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
19.6
16.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
16.2
7.6
17
108%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
3-3
100%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
11.9
11.4
4
52%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
6.6
12.2
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.