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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Timberwolves21%9384
3Thunder79%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
38.6
35.8
18
59%
1
3
2
1
0
7
0
1
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
32.6
28.1
4
31%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-1
0%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
31.1
31.0
11
51%
2
6
4
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-8
3-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
29.7
33.7
10
46%
5
4
0
1
2
3
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
27.1
30.2
17
67%
10
0
0
1
0
0
5
5
5-6
83%
6-10
6-12
60%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
27.7
18.9
14
47%
11
0
1
0
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
7-14
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
21.9
13.5
0
0%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
37%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
12.9
11.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
10.3
2.9
8
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
8.0
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
21.5
0
3-6
43%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.3
13.6
0
2-4
46%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
34.1
38.3
26
69%
8
3
3
1
4
3
0
8
4-4
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
54%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
33.4
28.0
10
83%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
32.1
33.5
6
44%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-6
6-11
50%
56%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
30.1
36.0
23
67%
8
7
1
2
0
1
1
7
6-7
86%
4-10
7-14
40%
47%
3-4
75%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.2
13.0
25.1
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
30.5
29.3
19
61%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
7-8
88%
0-5
3-5
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
17.9
11.7
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
17.3
19.2
6
80%
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
13.8
8.4
4
50%
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
12.1
3.3
4
52%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
5.7
2.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.