Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Magic	25%	96	105	110.5	95	86.1
	6	Nuggets	75%	105	108	112.5	96	107.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	39.2	20	53%	2	8	1	1	3	3	0	2	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	32.9	12	38%	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	1-5	20%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	32.4	10	56%	14	0	1	2	2	6	3	11	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	26.4	11	79%	5	2	1	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	19.7	12	60%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	31.4	17	61%	2	4	0	2	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	26.4	6	38%	7	0	1	1	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	11.9	9	64%	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	10.9	4	100%	1	1	0	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	8.8	4	40%	0	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	\| NWT - Right Thigh Contusion
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	\| DND - Sprained Left Elbow
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Davis #11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	43	23	5	11	11	0	11	32	9-10	90%	36-69	52%	8-24	33%

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24 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	39.2	20	53%	2	8	1	1	3	3	0	2	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	32.9	12	38%	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	1-5	20%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	32.4	10	56%	14	0	1	2	2	6	3	11	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	26.4	11	79%	5	2	1	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	19.7	12	60%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	31.4	17	61%	2	4	0	2	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	26.4	6	38%	7	0	1	1	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	11.9	9	64%	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	10.9	4	100%	1	1	0	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	8.8	4	40%	0	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	\| NWT - Right Thigh Contusion
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	\| DND - Sprained Left Elbow
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Davis #11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	43	23	5	11	11	0	11	32	9-10	90%	36-69	52%	8-24	33%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	35.9	19	73%	19	0	2	2	1	2	9	10	5-7	71%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	35.4	15	63%	8	4	0	1	2	2	1	7	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 25	34.0	19	48%	3	8	1	0	1	1	1	2	4-5	80%	6-17	35%	1-2	50%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	31.7	11	37%	4	5	1	0	2	0	2	2	2-4	50%	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	20.9	2	20%	3	0	2	1	1	0	2	1	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	28.6	18	69%	4	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	27.6	16	40%	4	2	0	1	2	0	1	3	2-6	33%	7-16	44%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 25	18.0	6	38%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	8.0	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Quincy Miller #30 · F · 6'9" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	49%	48	24	6	6	10	0	18	30	22-36	61%	37-82	45%	4-12	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.06 53.0%

DEN

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

23

40

57%

DEN

32

60

53%

Midrange

ORL

13

29

45%

DEN

5

22

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

8

12.0

24

33%

50%

DEN

4

6.0

12

33%

50%

Free Throws

ORL

9

10

90%

DEN

22

36

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Redick	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Afflalo	12	38%	6.0 / 16
A. Nicholson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Jones	11	79%	5.5 / 7
N. Vučević	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Harkless	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. McRoberts	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. O'Quinn	4	100%	2.0 / 2
I. Smith	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Faried	19	73%	9.5 / 13
T. Lawson	19	48%	9.5 / 20
A. Miller	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Brewer	16	40%	8.0 / 20
D. Gallinari	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Iguodala	11	37%	5.5 / 15
J. McGee	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Koufos	2	20%	1.0 / 5
E. Fournier	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 102.0 5 110.6	ORL 110.5 DEN 112.5 +2.0
Pace	16 91.9 2 95.0	ORL 86.1 DEN 107.1 +21.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.7 29 14.6	ORL 16.7 DEN 13.4 −3.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.5% 7 51.5%	ORL 51.6% +5.9% DEN 45.7%
TO %	13 15.2% 18 15.3%	ORL 10.1% DEN 8.3% −1.8%
ORB %	22 25.4% 1 31.4%	ORL 26.8% DEN 36.0% +9.2%
FTrt	30 19.7 5 30.8	ORL 10.8 DEN 38.3 +27.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 60.5% 15 60.0%	ORL 52.3% DEN 58.5% +6.2%
STL %	30 7.0% 2 9.7%	ORL 5.3% DEN 6.3% +1.0%
BLK %	24 7.0% 2 10.4%	ORL 13.4% +4.7% DEN 8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 7 53.5%	ORL 53.0% +4.4% DEN 48.6%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 6 60.5%	ORL 57.5% +4.2% DEN 53.3%
Mid FG%	13 39.6% 30 35.7%	ORL 44.8% +22.1% DEN 22.7%
3P %	29 32.9% 25 34.3%	ORL 33.3% DEN 33.3%
FT %	15 75.5% 28 70.1%	ORL 90.0% +28.9% DEN 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.4% 1 50.1%	ORL 43.0% DEN 63.8% +20.8%
Mid Att. %	20 42.3% 2 28.2%	ORL 31.2% DEN 23.4% −7.8%
3P Att. %	20 22.3% 22 21.7%	ORL 25.8% +13.0% DEN 12.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	ORL	DEN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	105	108
Rebounds	43	48
Assists	23	24
Steals	5	6
Blocks	11	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	30 (6)
Field Goals	44-93	41-94
At-the-Rim FG	23-40	32-60
Midrange FG	13-29	5-22
2-Point FG	36-69	37-82
3-Point FG	8-24	4-12
Free Throws	9-10	22-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg