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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic25%96105
6Nuggets75%105108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
39.2
37.5
20
52%
2
8
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
1-5
20%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
32.9
38.6
12
38%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
3-9
5-11
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
32.4
37.8
10
56%
14
0
1
1
2
2
3
11
0-0
-
5-9
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
26.4
16.8
11
79%
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
19.7
13.9
12
60%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
31.4
29.7
17
59%
2
4
0
1
2
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
4-8
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
26.4
28.2
6
38%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
11.9
7.4
9
64%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
10.9
1.4
4
100%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
8.8
6.9
4
40%
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
39%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
13.4
0
1-2
44%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
6.8
0
1-1
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
35.9
29.9
19
73%
19
0
2
1
2
1
9
10
5-7
71%
7-10
5-9
70%
56%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
35.4
30.3
15
64%
8
4
0
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
34.0
26.6
19
45%
3
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
6-17
4-8
35%
52%
1-2
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
31.7
33.8
11
37%
4
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-10
4-7
30%
51%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
20.9
26.3
2
20%
3
0
2
1
1
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
4-7
25%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
28.6
25.7
18
65%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
8-12
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
27.6
22.8
16
41%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-6
33%
7-16
3-6
44%
50%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
18.0
20.9
6
39%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
57%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
8.0
4.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
6.3
0
1-1
52%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
5.3
0
1-2
51%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
3.0
0
1-1
49%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
2.5
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.