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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat62%10390
20Trail Blazers38%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
42.6
38.5
15
41%
10
9
2
2
1
4
0
10
2-5
40%
5-11
8-14
45%
56%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
39.1
33.9
29
72%
4
1
2
1
4
2
2
2
3-5
60%
13-16
6-11
81%
52%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
35.4
33.1
18
44%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
6-18
7-13
33%
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
26.6
23.5
0
0%
8
0
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
18.1
25.6
2
50%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
29.5
20.1
15
59%
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
24.3
14.7
5
42%
8
4
1
0
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
12.7
16.0
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
11.8
9.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
2.3
0
0-0
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
2.1
0
0-0
36%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.1
42.2
38.0
28
71%
7
5
2
1
1
2
3
4
9-11
82%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
3-9
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
42.0
36.2
20
43%
15
1
2
1
0
3
2
13
8-10
80%
6-19
8-16
32%
50%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.5
41.2
36.7
10
42%
3
8
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
40.0
32.9
18
49%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
3-8
38%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
34.5
32.4
8
34%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
10.9
13.3
5
91%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
10.3
4.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
9.2
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
6.9
8.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
2.6
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.4
10.9
0
1-1
48%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.