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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats23%9378
15Raptors77%10399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
30.6
26.2
12
47%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
29.4
30.1
12
47%
8
2
2
1
0
2
4
4
4-6
67%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
17.7
19.5
10
73%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
17.3
24.3
2
50%
5
0
1
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
10.6
17.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
29.2
21.7
11
40%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
25.7
23.6
12
40%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-3
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
17.6
11.6
4
25%
9
1
0
0
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
17.2
24.9
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
15.3
20.9
4
67%
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
14.9
3.0
5
51%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
7.5
2.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
7.0
16.4
2
100%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-6
100%
42%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
34.1
35.9
6
34%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
6-13
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
33.8
29.2
8
41%
11
2
0
1
0
2
6
5
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
30.8
32.9
13
60%
8
2
2
1
2
1
3
5
1-2
50%
6-10
5-8
60%
59%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
23.1
33.4
12
49%
8
1
0
1
1
0
3
5
2-3
67%
5-11
6-10
45%
56%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
22.8
29.0
15
83%
0
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
3-5
60%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
25.8
25.5
16
47%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
4-9
44%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
25.2
19.8
9
75%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
3-6
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
18.0
2.9
6
43%
6
0
0
0
2
2
5
1
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
14.6
9.8
7
58%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
7.4
3.9
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
4.5
2.9
7
88%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
11.1
0
0-1
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.