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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets51%10191
13Celtics49%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
39.9
37.6
24
54%
1
5
2
2
1
6
0
1
4-7
57%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
2-8
25%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
36.4
35.8
12
54%
5
6
3
2
0
0
1
4
3-5
60%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
32.3
34.5
18
70%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
27.6
23.9
7
41%
11
2
0
1
0
2
4
7
1-8
13%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
18.4
21.2
5
42%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
23.9
24.3
5
32%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-7
14%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
20.4
9.9
6
52%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-4
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
20.1
22.7
5
31%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
18.5
20.3
7
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
1.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
1.3
1.3
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
33.0
27.0
12
43%
5
8
2
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
32.2
30.2
17
68%
8
0
0
1
4
2
0
8
1-1
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
29.2
27.3
23
71%
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
3-7
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
26.9
27.1
4
52%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
25.6
21.8
7
35%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
26.5
26.1
14
88%
11
1
0
1
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
7-8
3-7
88%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
20.9
18.0
14
89%
0
3
1
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
18.8
23.0
9
50%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
16.5
26.0
3
38%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
10.3
6.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
4.2
0
1-1
47%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.