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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Suns35%9679
14Nets65%10199
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
40.0
35.1
18
91%
5
4
0
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
4-4
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
32.7
33.9
9
35%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
1-4
25%
4-11
5-10
36%
54%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
29.2
30.8
0
0%
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
27.6
30.0
12
47%
6
1
0
1
1
1
4
2
0-2
0%
6-12
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
26.9
35.0
12
52%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
27.7
19.0
15
44%
1
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
5-5
100%
5-13
2-5
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
17.1
11.8
7
90%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
16.1
17.3
2
20%
3
3
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.2
13.8
10.4
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
4.4
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
3.1
1.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
1.6
0.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.8
35.3
24.3
13
37%
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
5
3-4
75%
5-16
6-12
31%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.7
35.1
24.0
7
53%
15
0
1
1
0
2
5
10
1-6
17%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
34.9
32.4
19
50%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-15
4-8
33%
50%
3-4
75%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
34.9
30.3
15
93%
3
6
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-7
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
5.8
24.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
24.1
20.6
15
49%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
3-3
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
23.4
12.5
6
51%
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-2
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
22.3
13.1
17
73%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.7
19.9
21.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
2.2
4.5
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
2.1
3.8
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
16.1
0
2-4
50%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.3
11.3
0
1-2
51%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.