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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs54%9698
7Grizzlies46%94101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.7
42.3
31.6
30
62%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
7-7
100%
7-18
6-12
39%
50%
3-3
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
38.9
27.1
13
41%
15
4
0
1
3
6
4
11
3-4
75%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
38.6
29.3
6
44%
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
30.9
28.4
13
74%
5
4
2
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
5-7
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
18.3
20.5
9
57%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
35.5
25.8
14
64%
6
5
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
4-9
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
25.8
22.0
6
60%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
19.4
16.2
7
81%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
5.7
20.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
5.0
4.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.8
4.6
7.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.6
4.3
0
0-1
45%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
3.7
0
1-1
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
42.8
32.3
18
57%
10
2
1
1
0
2
5
5
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
42.6
35.9
23
52%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-5
40%
9-16
6-13
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
40.8
34.6
21
54%
2
5
2
2
0
4
0
2
10-10
100%
4-11
3-8
36%
45%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
39.3
28.8
10
71%
5
3
3
2
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
37.2
32.7
10
42%
6
2
1
1
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
24.1
23.4
3
30%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
22.7
15.6
14
71%
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
12.5
13.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
3.1
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
21.9
1
1-3
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.