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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves47%9692
22Hornets53%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
38.7
29.1
12
47%
9
1
1
1
0
3
2
7
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
37.1
31.5
17
69%
5
2
2
1
1
3
0
5
8-10
80%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
1-4
25%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
36.9
36.0
11
43%
0
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
34.5
30.4
20
66%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
28.6
28.5
18
56%
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
4
4-7
57%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
24.5
21.8
9
54%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
21.5
16.7
3
39%
0
3
1
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
13.9
11.9
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
4.3
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
14.7
0
2-4
46%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.3
11.3
0
2-4
48%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
5.8
0
0-1
45%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
30.8
26.3
12
76%
13
3
3
1
1
2
3
10
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
28.5
27.3
16
46%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
26.8
21.8
4
67%
6
2
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
26.1
35.1
18
53%
4
13
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
2-5
40%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
23.2
21.5
9
65%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
25.7
28.8
15
58%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
21.5
11.3
10
83%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
20.4
21.5
14
88%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-8
4-8
88%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
12.3
9.8
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
10.8
11.4
4
33%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
4.7
2.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
4.6
17.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
4.6
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.