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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons36%95103
16Bucks64%10087
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
34.5
32.1
26
58%
11
2
0
1
0
1
3
8
4-8
50%
11-19
6-12
58%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
34.4
30.8
20
58%
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
3-7
43%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
28.0
32.9
6
25%
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-12
4-10
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
26.9
22.5
10
73%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-2
0%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
23.0
19.0
10
79%
4
3
0
0
1
3
3
1
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.7
22.4
28.7
7
42%
4
4
1
1
2
3
1
3
2-3
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
20.0
16.1
7
52%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
17.6
16.3
8
57%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.4
17.0
22.2
8
57%
11
1
1
1
4
1
4
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.0
13.6
20.3
1
10%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
2.6
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.4
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
29.0
36.8
15
49%
3
1
2
2
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
27.1
36.7
13
50%
4
5
1
2
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
6-10
7-14
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
26.7
24.9
8
29%
6
1
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-3
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
22.2
22.3
6
38%
6
1
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
18.6
26.5
3
44%
5
1
0
1
3
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
26.9
17.6
15
72%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
20.8
25.5
4
33%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-4
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
15.3
19.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
12.9
4.9
1
17%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
12.0
4.1
6
44%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
2-4
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
12.0
3.4
8
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-1
44%
46%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
11.3
18.3
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
5.0
3.1
2
35%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.