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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets27%9487
6Knicks73%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
35.7
31.0
11
47%
5
6
1
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
33.2
22.1
13
45%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
1-3
33%
6-13
4-8
46%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
29.4
27.5
22
61%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
7-9
78%
6-8
4-9
75%
47%
1-6
17%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
28.5
23.5
10
36%
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-14
4-8
36%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
25.9
27.5
2
100%
11
0
0
1
2
1
2
9
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
22.4
15.4
9
60%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
21.4
27.2
7
29%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-8
13%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
13.0
10.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
10.6
11.0
7
56%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
9.1
3.8
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
6.8
20.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
3.9
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
40.0
31.1
27
47%
7
3
1
1
1
2
2
5
7-8
88%
7-17
6-12
41%
49%
2-8
25%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.8
30.2
10.8
22
73%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
53%
4-8
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.3
26.6
36.4
5
44%
14
2
0
1
3
1
2
12
3-6
50%
1-3
5-7
33%
65%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.8
22.6
25.5
5
63%
4
8
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-3
33%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
10.5
7.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.7
29.5
21.7
8
82%
4
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.3
27.0
36.5
8
32%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-8
6-13
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
23.0
20.3
12
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
17.1
20.0
9
56%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
3-7
43%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.8
13.5
8.2
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.8
9.4
0
1-2
45%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.3
9.2
0
1-2
49%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.3
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.6
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.