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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks43%96107
15Raptors57%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
33.8
32.5
17
48%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
31.7
33.6
19
59%
4
10
0
2
0
2
2
2
7-7
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
45%
2-5
40%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
27.9
23.2
11
64%
8
1
0
1
2
1
3
5
3-6
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
25.6
25.4
9
65%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
17.7
22.2
8
80%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
30.3
23.4
15
84%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-4
75%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
22.4
15.4
19
64%
6
0
0
0
2
2
1
5
3-4
75%
8-12
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
20.1
17.5
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
16.3
20.9
5
50%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
14.2
8.4
2
50%
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
7.5
0
1-2
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
7.0
0
1-3
45%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
4.0
0
1-1
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
43.9
31.3
22
62%
14
4
3
1
2
4
5
9
4-4
100%
9-16
5-8
56%
57%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
37.3
34.5
23
49%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
9-10
90%
7-17
6-12
41%
47%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
36.5
28.4
20
66%
12
2
1
1
0
1
7
5
4-7
57%
8-12
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
31.1
25.9
21
70%
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
2-4
55%
50%
3-4
75%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
29.2
30.4
3
26%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
28.6
25.1
5
23%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-5
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
16.9
22.0
0
0%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
13.2
9.8
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
3.4
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
7.0
0
0-1
48%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
3.8
0
0-1
47%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.