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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Warriors34%100105
5Nuggets66%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
42.1
35.3
23
61%
13
6
1
1
1
4
3
10
1-2
50%
11-18
7-15
61%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
41.1
39.3
29
81%
0
7
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
7-9
78%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
39.3
35.9
13
41%
6
3
0
1
1
5
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
1-7
14%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
29.4
27.1
21
95%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
5-6
83%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
16.0
19.4
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.3
28.9
22.4
5
51%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
26.3
27.1
10
42%
4
8
0
1
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
11.2
12.0
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
1.9
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.6
1.9
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.5
1.9
1.3
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
4.9
0
0-0
56%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.6
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
34.9
31.2
21
72%
8
6
0
1
0
1
3
5
4-6
67%
4-5
3-7
80%
47%
3-7
43%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
32.9
31.2
20
60%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
31.9
35.1
10
42%
3
6
5
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
30.3
32.0
9
36%
10
0
0
1
1
1
3
7
1-1
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
20.8
27.9
8
67%
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
25.3
24.8
12
68%
6
8
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
21.5
20.9
13
60%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
20.9
8.7
14
50%
6
1
3
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
48%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
19.5
16.0
9
69%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
5-8
63%
2-3
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
0.7
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
0.7
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
0.7
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
6.3
0
1-1
51%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.