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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic51%9791
28Wizards49%96120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
37.1
37.0
2
9%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-10
5-11
10%
51%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
34.2
36.7
19
51%
2
12
3
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
3-7
43%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
33.0
34.4
13
60%
13
1
1
1
0
1
3
10
1-2
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
50%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
20.1
16.6
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
15.6
21.7
6
38%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
21.3
31.4
12
68%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
17.7
10.7
13
73%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
15.6
4.6
5
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
13.8
9.6
2
25%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
12.9
26.7
5
51%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
10.9
9.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
7.8
4.5
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
6.6
0
0-1
46%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.5
29.7
37.0
17
78%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
44%
1-1
100%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.3
28.2
19.9
18
77%
1
6
2
1
0
1
1
0
5-6
83%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
27.4
25.0
19
64%
11
2
0
1
1
1
2
9
3-4
75%
8-13
4-8
62%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
19.0
26.8
8
93%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.3
15.8
22.5
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.1
28.2
29.7
18
57%
5
4
0
1
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
8-15
6-13
53%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
24.6
16.6
9
64%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
24.6
9.1
10
63%
7
4
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
19.8
25.2
12
56%
1
6
1
1
0
2
1
0
6-6
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.7
18.3
18.1
7
70%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.1
4.3
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
16.3
1
2-4
53%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.2
11.1
0
2-3
47%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.