Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Magic	51%	97	91	95.8	95	87.6
	28	Wizards	49%	96	120	127.7	94	102.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.1	2	9%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-10	10%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	34.2	19	50%	2	12	3	0	4	2	0	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	33.0	13	59%	13	1	1	0	1	4	3	10	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	20.1	6	60%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.6	6	38%	2	0	1	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	21.3	12	67%	1	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	17.7	13	72%	4	1	0	2	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	15.6	5	42%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	13.8	2	25%	1	2	1	1	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	12.9	5	50%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	10.9	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	7.8	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon #19 · · 6'10" 250 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	47%	38	23	7	3	14	0	11	27	12-15	80%	32-69	46%	5-18	28%

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23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.1	2	9%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-10	10%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	34.2	19	50%	2	12	3	0	4	2	0	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	33.0	13	59%	13	1	1	0	1	4	3	10	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	20.1	6	60%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.6	6	38%	2	0	1	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	21.3	12	67%	1	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	17.7	13	72%	4	1	0	2	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	15.6	5	42%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	13.8	2	25%	1	2	1	1	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	12.9	5	50%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	10.9	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	7.8	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon #19 · · 6'10" 250 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	47%	38	23	7	3	14	0	11	27	12-15	80%	32-69	46%	5-18	28%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 20	29.7	17	77%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 26	28.2	18	75%	1	6	2	0	1	1	1	0	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 30	27.4	19	68%	11	2	0	1	1	1	2	9	3-4	75%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F · 6'7" 230 · 26	19.0	8	100%	2	3	2	0	2	4	0	2	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 30	15.8	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23	28.2	18	56%	5	4	0	3	2	5	1	4	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28	24.6	9	64%	5	2	1	2	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 23	24.6	10	63%	7	4	1	0	0	5	2	5	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 22	19.8	12	55%	1	6	1	0	2	0	1	0	6-6	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27	18.3	7	70%	4	3	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 23	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Jordan Crawford · 6'4" 195 · 24	\| DND - Sore Left Ankle
Cartier Martin #20 · F · 6'7" 220 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	42	32	8	6	11	0	9	33	21-25	84%	39-71	55%	7-11	64%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.95 47.4%

WAS

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

16

29

55%

WAS

23

35

66%

Midrange

ORL

16

40

40%

WAS

16

36

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

5

7.5

18

28%

42%

WAS

7

10.5

11

64%

95%

Free Throws

ORL

12

15

80%

WAS

21

25

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	19	50%	9.5 / 19
N. Vučević	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Davis	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Redick	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Jones	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Nicholson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
E. Moore	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. McRoberts	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Harkless	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. O'Quinn	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Afflalo	2	9%	1.0 / 11
I. Smith	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Okafor	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Price	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Seraphin	18	56%	9.0 / 16
B. Beal	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Wall	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Vesely	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Ariza	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Webster	8	100%	4.0 / 4
G. Temple	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Nene	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Singleton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 102.0 30 99.8	ORL 95.8 WAS 127.7 +31.9
Pace	16 91.9 13 92.7	ORL 87.6 WAS 102.6 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.7 23 15.3	ORL 16.4 WAS 14.0 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.5% 25 47.5%	ORL 45.4% WAS 60.4% +15.0%
TO %	13 15.2% 26 15.6%	ORL 13.0% WAS 10.6% −2.4%
ORB %	22 25.4% 25 24.6%	ORL 25.0% WAS 25.0%
FTrt	30 19.7 18 26.1	ORL 17.2 WAS 30.5 +13.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 60.5% 9 61.0%	ORL 62.2% WAS 69.6% +7.4%
STL %	30 7.0% 24 7.8%	ORL 7.4% WAS 8.5% +1.1%
BLK %	24 7.0% 21 7.5%	ORL 4.2% WAS 8.7% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 23 50.1%	ORL 47.4% WAS 63.2% +15.8%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 25 55.3%	ORL 55.2% WAS 65.7% +10.5%
Mid FG%	13 39.6% 18 38.8%	ORL 40.0% WAS 44.4% +4.4%
3P %	29 32.9% 10 36.5%	ORL 27.8% WAS 63.6% +35.8%
FT %	15 75.5% 23 73.3%	ORL 80.0% WAS 84.0% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.4% 28 31.3%	ORL 33.3% WAS 42.7% +9.3%
Mid Att. %	20 42.3% 30 46.3%	ORL 46.0% WAS 43.9% −2.1%
3P Att. %	20 22.3% 19 22.3%	ORL 20.7% +7.3% WAS 13.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	91	120
Rebounds	38	42
Assists	23	32
Steals	7	8
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	37-87	46-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-29	23-35
Midrange FG	16-40	16-36
2-Point FG	32-69	39-71
3-Point FG	5-18	7-11
Free Throws	12-15	21-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg