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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats19%9089
13Celtics81%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
34.4
20.8
16
59%
4
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
4-6
67%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
28.2
21.0
4
52%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
27.9
29.6
12
36%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
43%
2-5
40%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
27.2
23.6
10
56%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
22.4
24.8
10
48%
8
0
0
1
0
2
3
5
0-1
0%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
30.1
24.1
12
42%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
24.3
23.4
16
59%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
3-8
44%
43%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
19.8
20.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
15.0
17.8
8
100%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
10.7
14.0
1
28%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-4
25%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
8.7
0
1-3
41%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
5.9
0
1-1
49%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
3.6
0
0-0
40%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
37.4
29.6
17
74%
10
12
0
1
0
2
1
9
1-1
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
32.0
27.8
19
49%
4
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
5-8
63%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
31.9
30.5
7
27%
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
3-4
75%
2-11
6-12
18%
54%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
27.6
23.2
16
80%
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
4-7
57%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
16.9
26.6
6
50%
3
0
1
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
26.9
21.0
11
62%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
22.3
25.7
8
82%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
4-4
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
17.0
18.9
9
64%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
15.0
21.9
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
8.4
8.1
3
61%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
4.7
2.9
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
6.5
0
1-1
59%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.