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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks42%9358
10Bulls58%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
27.5
31.2
6
34%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
26.9
35.8
9
30%
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
26.6
35.8
6
30%
11
1
2
1
1
4
5
6
0-0
-
3-10
7-12
30%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
25.3
27.1
9
71%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
16.0
20.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
30.6
12.5
3
17%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
24.8
29.9
4
33%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
18.6
20.2
4
22%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
16.0
3.6
10
85%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
15.3
3.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
6.9
1.2
5
56%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
5.4
15.1
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
6.5
0
0-0
40%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
32.6
38.3
18
84%
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
5-6
6-12
83%
48%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
31.5
30.1
20
57%
13
3
0
1
1
5
2
11
6-8
75%
7-14
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
27.6
31.3
9
33%
16
1
0
1
2
2
4
12
5-6
83%
2-11
4-8
18%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
24.0
24.7
1
13%
3
3
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
20.2
19.2
8
46%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
23.5
24.2
6
51%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
21.1
20.6
8
50%
7
0
1
0
5
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
18.0
21.6
9
53%
7
3
0
1
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
15.4
15.9
8
59%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
12.0
5.7
4
52%
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
6.0
2.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
4.3
2.6
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
3.8
0.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.