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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Clippers53%9499
8Grizzlies47%9373
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.1
28.4
14.4
14
54%
3
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
6-9
67%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
26.5
21.8
9
90%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
3-4
75%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
24.8
32.8
10
47%
6
5
0
1
0
3
2
4
4-6
67%
3-8
7-13
38%
52%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
20.8
21.5
6
44%
7
0
0
0
3
1
3
4
0-2
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
20.7
17.8
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.2
32.6
24.5
6
34%
7
3
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.8
27.3
24.7
16
48%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
44%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
23.8
28.2
16
67%
8
0
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.3
17.2
10.1
8
68%
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.0
11.1
10.6
3
104%
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
6.8
1.5
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
34.3
2
4-9
50%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
35.7
29.4
15
38%
12
1
0
1
0
1
10
2
5-9
56%
5-15
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
33.6
28.9
8
31%
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
33.5
28.4
8
40%
6
4
2
2
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
29.9
15.3
11
61%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
3-6
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
29.7
31.0
5
23%
0
1
2
2
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
1-5
20%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
22.7
20.9
10
46%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
16.4
24.1
3
38%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
14.3
1.0
8
46%
5
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
0-0
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
11.3
10.8
2
20%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
9.1
6.5
3
30%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
3.7
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
33.5
1
6-12
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.