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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves35%9598
15Mavericks65%100113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
38.9
30.5
12
33%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-18
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
32.1
28.3
20
65%
12
0
1
1
0
1
4
8
4-10
40%
8-11
6-12
73%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
31.6
32.4
10
46%
9
3
1
1
1
1
6
3
4-4
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
21.9
31.4
7
40%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
21.8
29.1
7
39%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
26.2
15.0
21
69%
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
4-7
57%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
26.1
20.1
6
77%
5
6
0
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-4
67%
38%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
25.5
23.1
9
41%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
15.9
15.2
6
51%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.9
0
2-3
47%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
6.2
0
1-1
43%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
38.4
32.5
20
87%
7
9
2
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
3-4
75%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
35.9
28.3
23
79%
2
9
3
1
0
3
0
2
8-8
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
33.3
29.8
10
42%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
26.5
26.1
5
28%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
15.2
21.1
10
83%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
5-10
83%
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
30.0
18.0
20
77%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
10-13
3-5
77%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
22.0
24.9
10
79%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
13.1
15.7
7
88%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
10.9
12.6
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
10.1
9.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
2.8
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
1.8
6.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.