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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder61%100102
26Suns39%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
42.9
37.7
41
60%
5
2
0
1
2
0
0
5
9-9
100%
13-25
7-13
52%
54%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
36.3
33.9
36
64%
8
5
2
2
0
1
2
6
7-9
78%
13-21
6-13
62%
46%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.2
29.3
25.5
0
0%
13
1
1
0
0
2
1
12
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
27.7
20.3
4
100%
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
15.5
21.8
2
33%
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.0
32.8
29.7
12
50%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
21.7
10.9
5
43%
6
1
1
0
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
55%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
14.2
20.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
11.8
14.5
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
6.8
4.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
1.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
3.3
0
0-1
39%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
46.5
33.9
19
50%
15
1
0
1
1
1
4
11
5-7
71%
7-16
5-9
44%
54%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
43.3
22.8
21
68%
3
3
1
1
2
3
1
2
1-1
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
46%
2-6
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
33.6
28.3
11
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
2-6
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
27.1
28.3
2
25%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
27.1
28.0
7
29%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-11
6-12
27%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
25.6
10.1
14
42%
11
1
0
0
2
4
5
6
3-6
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
20.3
17.3
14
78%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
4-6
67%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
16.5
17.2
2
20%
6
3
1
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
26.6
1
2-5
53%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
10.8
0
2-3
46%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
9.9
0
1-2
42%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.