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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets47%94111
2476ers53%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
35.9
32.4
23
62%
2
9
0
1
0
6
0
2
0-1
0%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
32.1
27.9
19
64%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
22.7
25.1
8
44%
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
22.6
26.3
5
51%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
20.9
26.3
10
68%
7
2
2
1
2
1
2
5
2-3
67%
4-6
5-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
28.9
24.6
14
59%
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
26.7
18.0
7
88%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
23.3
14.8
6
43%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
14.8
6.2
11
70%
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.1
6.7
10.6
7
90%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
5.3
8.8
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
11.6
0
1-2
46%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
39.5
33.9
12
33%
6
3
1
1
2
1
4
2
0-1
0%
6-18
6-11
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
36.2
35.8
29
76%
5
11
4
1
0
4
1
4
5-5
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
34.5
34.2
14
51%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
4-10
4-10
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
19.6
22.8
5
50%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
14.7
21.1
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
26.1
25.2
7
51%
6
6
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
21.1
25.8
5
42%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
19.4
11.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
12.0
11.6
14
74%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
2-4
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
9.6
10.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
7.3
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.7
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
1.9
0
0-0
51%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.