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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers78%100103
30Bobcats22%9076
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
31.4
37.4
16
47%
10
3
2
2
0
3
2
8
0-2
0%
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
2-7
29%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
27.6
23.8
7
54%
8
6
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-1
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
27.5
33.1
16
67%
7
4
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
26.6
33.5
15
51%
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
6-13
7-13
46%
52%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
26.6
25.6
18
62%
7
1
0
0
4
2
4
3
8-8
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
20.5
20.9
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
19.5
23.6
3
19%
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
17.6
13.3
9
63%
3
0
0
0
1
4
3
0
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
14.7
19.7
4
53%
6
0
0
1
3
2
1
5
4-4
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
12.0
9.2
2
25%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
6.7
2.5
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
54%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
5.5
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
3.8
3.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
31.6
23.8
4
32%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
26.7
28.7
13
72%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
43%
1-1
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
24.6
25.0
15
49%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
8-12
67%
2-9
3-8
22%
45%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
22.2
23.6
5
36%
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
14.2
25.6
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
27.9
23.6
13
48%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
3-9
3-8
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
23.5
12.5
4
52%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
20.1
16.7
5
36%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
13.7
20.1
2
33%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
13.6
26.0
7
37%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
12.1
3.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
6.2
4.5
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
3.5
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.