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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers44%101117
6Rockets56%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.1
36.5
21.1
19
69%
7
5
2
1
0
3
2
5
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
33.3
29.1
19
63%
4
8
1
1
1
6
2
2
5-5
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
22.1
21.5
9
65%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
60%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
20.4
23.9
1
35%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
17.4
19.1
15
102%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
31.4
26.1
18
57%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
3-6
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.8
29.4
25.8
30
70%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
6-13
3-8
46%
45%
5-7
71%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.2
19.8
27.8
2
25%
11
2
1
1
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.3
16.4
13.5
4
53%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.0
13.4
11.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
21.4
1
3-6
51%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
4.2
0
0-1
56%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
35.3
35.6
12
51%
1
10
2
2
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
35.2
39.3
23
51%
4
3
1
2
0
5
0
4
5-6
83%
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
2-9
22%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
32.5
34.9
17
78%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
24.5
29.2
7
48%
9
1
1
1
0
4
6
3
1-3
33%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
16.0
18.3
5
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
29.2
24.5
16
68%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
2-7
29%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
24.5
20.2
12
56%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
1-4
25%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
20.9
10.7
6
100%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
13.9
17.4
7
51%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
2.5
1.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
1.8
10.2
3
150%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
1.8
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
1.8
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.