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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks41%10088
14Lakers59%103104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
31.2
32.6
17
43%
6
4
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-9
33%
4-8
6-13
50%
47%
2-8
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
29.4
32.6
12
39%
1
1
1
2
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-7
4-10
43%
44%
1-7
14%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
25.4
20.4
8
37%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
24.4
24.9
6
43%
11
2
1
1
3
0
4
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
22.4
25.3
6
33%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
26.4
18.8
14
54%
2
7
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
5-10
3-5
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
23.2
25.8
10
56%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
2-4
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
17.0
17.9
5
28%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
13.9
10.8
3
30%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
12.1
5.6
7
72%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
10.6
18.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
4.1
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
5.1
0
1-2
45%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
40.1
21.1
31
72%
16
0
0
1
4
2
3
13
3-8
38%
14-18
3-6
78%
59%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
36.7
33.3
31
75%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
50%
3-5
60%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
33.3
30.9
12
60%
6
3
0
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
32.9
29.7
8
37%
2
11
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-4
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
24.4
27.7
6
43%
9
4
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
29.0
24.4
10
56%
8
3
1
1
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
19.1
14.7
3
25%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
15.2
18.6
3
30%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-5
20%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
7.9
18.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
1.5
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
11.1
0
2-3
50%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.