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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers54%9586
25Magic46%9397
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
36.2
34.7
20
59%
10
4
0
2
1
1
1
9
7-7
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
34.7
30.8
15
47%
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
49%
1-4
25%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
31.6
30.7
14
47%
7
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
0-0
-
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
29.1
25.4
6
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
22.6
26.0
11
70%
7
1
0
0
2
4
2
5
1-2
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
19.6
15.1
10
59%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
18.2
20.7
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
15.8
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
13.9
21.8
10
42%
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-4
0%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
11.8
10.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
6.4
4.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
3.7
0
0-0
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
34.6
33.2
16
58%
15
1
1
1
0
0
4
11
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
34.5
36.2
15
58%
5
5
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
33.4
35.1
14
58%
0
6
4
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
4-6
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
24.7
14.2
11
38%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-14
3-6
36%
45%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
22.3
17.7
4
67%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
29.1
26.7
14
88%
4
6
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-6
67%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
21.9
10.1
9
65%
2
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
19.6
20.2
8
50%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
12.6
18.4
4
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
2.8
10.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
2.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
1.7
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
5.6
0
0-1
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.