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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets36%9897
3Thunder64%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
29.8
34.5
12
51%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
26.1
34.4
11
45%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-5
3-8
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
25.1
22.9
16
93%
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
4-6
67%
6-6
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
20.6
29.7
5
51%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
19.6
33.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.8
24.4
25.6
6
43%
3
10
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
19.9
17.7
15
91%
4
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
5-5
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
18.8
19.5
3
19%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
16.1
1.5
8
42%
5
0
3
0
3
2
1
4
6-8
75%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
15.3
3.1
9
63%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
9.7
3.8
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
9.0
2.4
6
75%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
5.7
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
28.6
38.8
20
70%
2
4
5
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
5-7
8-14
71%
55%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
27.9
34.3
32
67%
2
4
1
2
0
0
2
0
8-9
89%
12-19
7-14
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
26.5
29.2
5
46%
6
1
0
0
5
3
2
4
1-1
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.2
24.3
26.3
2
17%
5
1
2
0
2
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
22.4
22.9
9
64%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
3-5
60%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.8
20.1
13.5
8
59%
6
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
20.0
18.0
6
75%
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
2-2
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.0
19.1
30.1
20
75%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
6-9
3-5
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
18.8
14.2
3
54%
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2
1-4
25%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
13.5
5.4
6
60%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
9.7
1.9
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
9.3
19.5
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
60%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
2.5
0
0-0
40%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.