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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies32%9082
1Spurs68%97103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
39.0
23.7
17
58%
8
2
1
1
1
6
1
7
3-4
75%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
33.0
31.4
11
45%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
31.2
30.4
10
60%
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
26.8
30.5
12
73%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
26.8
29.9
11
66%
4
1
1
2
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
22.5
21.5
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
17.8
20.3
4
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
16.1
21.0
4
29%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
12.8
11.1
5
51%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
6.8
6.2
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
4.2
7.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
2.8
6.4
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.7
34.9
31.4
17
62%
1
11
0
1
0
4
0
1
5-6
83%
6-11
6-13
55%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
31.0
29.2
19
54%
8
4
0
1
5
1
1
7
1-1
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
49%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
28.2
24.4
10
78%
9
1
2
1
1
1
1
8
0-1
0%
5-6
4-6
83%
58%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.6
23.1
29.9
13
108%
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
3-3
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
20.1
19.6
8
80%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
28.8
20.2
14
70%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
7-8
1-3
88%
54%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
23.6
21.2
8
50%
2
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
23.4
17.0
9
46%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
13.1
10.5
3
75%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.6
4.6
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.8
3.6
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
2.8
6.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
2.8
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.