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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks53%9998
26Suns47%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
34.1
31.5
24
55%
4
6
3
1
0
5
2
2
4-4
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
47%
0-3
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
30.1
24.4
19
62%
15
1
0
1
2
0
6
9
3-3
100%
8-14
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
28.5
31.1
16
52%
5
4
0
1
0
5
1
4
2-3
67%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
25.3
22.3
4
25%
4
2
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
19.1
24.0
4
29%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
31.1
24.3
16
81%
3
3
1
1
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
4-5
80%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
22.2
17.3
10
39%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
0-2
0%
5-12
3-7
42%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
19.5
21.5
0
0%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
13.9
12.0
2
26%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
7.8
8.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
6.9
15.1
3
39%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
1.4
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
3.6
0
1-1
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
32.4
27.2
16
59%
8
3
0
1
0
3
3
5
6-8
75%
5-10
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
32.0
19.8
13
57%
6
4
3
1
0
2
0
6
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
2-5
40%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
29.4
29.9
10
45%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
29.0
37.6
7
30%
5
2
1
1
2
3
0
5
1-4
25%
3-10
6-11
30%
55%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
21.8
27.4
8
51%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
29.1
29.6
20
51%
5
2
4
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
18.6
18.1
4
41%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
16.6
16.8
4
29%
6
2
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
15.8
7.5
7
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
15.3
15.5
5
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
46%
1-1
100%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
6.9
0
0-1
43%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
0.7
0
0-0
48%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.