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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat48%10199
9Lakers52%10290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
42.1
34.7
39
73%
7
8
3
1
1
2
0
7
4-4
100%
16-23
7-13
70%
55%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
37.8
29.7
27
58%
4
5
2
1
1
1
0
4
5-7
71%
11-19
6-11
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
35.0
28.4
7
32%
6
2
6
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
21.1
28.6
4
25%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
11.5
22.0
4
67%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
31.0
23.2
9
51%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
19.4
16.5
1
28%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
17.9
12.6
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
15.7
15.1
6
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
8.6
13.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
12.9
0
0-1
46%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
5.1
0
0-0
37%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
42.9
34.3
22
43%
4
1
1
1
0
6
1
3
2-2
100%
4-16
7-14
25%
49%
4-9
44%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
38.0
28.9
13
51%
16
2
0
1
1
0
4
12
5-13
38%
4-7
5-8
57%
59%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
37.2
31.5
16
63%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
34.5
30.2
9
56%
1
7
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
22.5
25.8
6
60%
7
2
0
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
24.7
10.2
12
68%
4
4
1
0
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
21.6
25.5
12
65%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
13.5
17.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
5.1
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
13.8
0
2-3
49%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
7.9
0
0-1
46%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.