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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls49%92100
13Celtics51%9399
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
45.5
34.7
14
55%
13
4
2
1
1
2
1
12
2-4
50%
6-11
5-9
55%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
42.7
32.3
19
48%
20
4
1
1
0
2
6
14
3-6
50%
8-17
7-14
47%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
32.6
18.0
20
57%
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
5-6
83%
6-13
3-7
46%
45%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
31.6
26.9
8
82%
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
26.9
38.3
3
25%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
5-11
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
25.4
11.6
13
96%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
21.3
18.5
11
57%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
20.7
26.2
10
57%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
17.8
18.9
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
0.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
41.8
32.8
30
60%
2
7
2
2
0
3
0
2
6-9
67%
12-21
4-9
57%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
39.1
29.7
16
39%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
6-10
60%
5-13
6-11
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
34.1
29.6
13
35%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-14
4-8
36%
47%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
27.0
26.2
10
73%
2
0
2
1
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
14.7
3.3
5
42%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
38.0
21.9
7
41%
15
0
1
1
0
1
5
10
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
27.4
20.7
9
77%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
22.2
16.7
7
44%
6
1
3
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
19.2
23.6
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
1.5
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
23.3
1
2-5
48%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
4.0
0
0-1
56%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.