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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings25%9269
10Grizzlies75%10185
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
38.1
35.3
22
51%
12
1
2
1
1
3
4
8
4-6
67%
9-19
7-15
47%
43%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
31.3
33.7
6
50%
4
2
2
1
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
29.4
24.9
9
35%
0
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-10
3-5
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
28.4
30.2
8
37%
7
0
0
1
1
4
1
6
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
20.9
22.8
3
22%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-6
4-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
19.6
15.0
2
17%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
15.7
3.3
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
2-3
67%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
13.5
15.3
2
20%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
11.7
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
40%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
9.8
7.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
7.8
15.4
5
40%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
6.9
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
6.9
10.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
40.7
29.8
13
57%
5
3
2
1
1
5
2
3
1-1
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
37.1
28.9
18
54%
10
2
1
1
3
3
5
5
6-6
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
36.9
30.6
19
53%
5
4
1
2
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
36.5
28.3
14
57%
9
6
1
2
3
1
3
6
2-3
67%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
26.5
11.7
10
39%
9
2
1
0
0
1
4
5
0-2
0%
5-12
2-5
42%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
25.0
21.8
7
44%
7
0
1
1
3
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
20.8
18.9
1
27%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
16.4
19.0
3
25%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
31.6
1
6-11
52%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
6.2
0
1-2
51%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
6.2
0
1-1
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
5.2
0
1-1
54%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.